I put the graph of Concurrent Logins in this post to show how little these people know. These are the low information people of Second Life™. The graph directly refutes Linda’s comment. Ebbe has had no influence on the trend in this graph. Well, he may have slowed the decline but it is hard to know and saying so is a stretch at this time.
Does Ben & Jerry’s comment imply they think SL is not being improved? Do they not know why the decision was made to build Sansar? Very simply SL will never be able to generate the frame rates needed for VR headsets and maintain legacy compatibility. I don’t mean we can’t use VR headsets with SL. The point is that it is going to be a second or third rate performance. The Lab is building Sansar to provide the best possible VR experience with today’s tech.
We have more viewer updates now than any part of my time in Second Life. Server updates have recently slowed, but we still have a couple every month.
Shaun apparently has no idea who the team is that is maintaining and improving SL. The people working on SL are fewer, but they are those interested in SL. Oz Linden, I forget his title but basically the guy in charge of SL, fought for the job. Most of his people wanted to be on the SL project. So, while we believe we have fewer people working on SL than in the past, and no one that knows the real number is saying, they are motivated people. Because of that motivation I think we are getting some of the smartest changes to SL that I’ve seen in my time.
That Shaun thinks High Fidelity has a high barrier to entry… that thought is likely based on the current state of HyFy development, which isn’t even to my idea of an Alpha level of development, is amazing. That he thinks VR has no use case is ostridge thinking. Does this guy live in a social and information vacuum? Google ‘uses for VR’. The result is 45 million hits…
A.J. doesn’t get that Sansar is an effort to save the Lab. Second Life is NOT growing. Basic understanding of the world around us is that nothing remains static for any length of time, especially not if left alone. The 2nd Law of thermodynamics applies to social systems as well as physical systems. That means something has to be done or the Lab’s days are numbered. The new project doesn’t mean the Lab will save itself, but it gives the Lab a better chance than not doing anything and only working on SL, which will likely get left behind as more people move to VR.
A.J. is typical of the entitlement generation that forgets things have to be paid for and doesn’t mind insisting others pay for them. The Lab has to turn a profit or cease to exist. But, he is representative of those that support Bernie and Hillary and looking forward to all the free stuff they promise without any consideration of how it will be paid for… Bill promised that those making less than $250k/yr they would not see taxes raise. But, they did for the money he needed not even the 1% had enough if taxed at 100%. They upped taxes on people into the bottom of the middle income brackets.
Clean Him Up must have missed the various polls about Sansar. But, even with those polls it is hard to know what people are thinking and even harder to know what they will actually do when the time comes. My point is he is speaking from a place of ignorance but as if he knew. So, I’ll also assume he has no idea how Ebbe is managing the Lab or what the board of directors has told Ebbe to do. Talk about a low information person…
Humperton is referring to Prokofy’s question: “There are persistent rumors that LL plans to merge sims with lots of abandoned land, moving existing owners to other sims. Is that true?”
Prokofy’s question is valid. But, to build conjecture on her question about a rumor and then use it as the basis/proof for statement about what SL residents are thinking is ludicrous. Rationality requires far better thinking.
While Wolkenreiter is more positive than the others, Wolkenreiter isn’t keeping up with the Ebbe interviews and what is being said about Sansar. I will concede that much of what the in-Sansar-world building tools will be like is unknown. But, that there will be in-world building tools so people can avoid learning Maya and/or Blender is an existing Ebbe statement.
Wolkenreiter idea that nothing has improved user retention has some apparent truth. But, to drop from 1.2 million active users to 900,000 is not a bad seven year retention. WoW has gone from 12+ million to about 5.5 million in a year.
Will there be anything the Lab can do to improve retention? The Lindens are trying. Two new things are on the table; Avatar Complexity Information (ACI) and Community Gateways. I’ve been writing about both. They may help with two things that are considered to cause retention problems. ACI may make a BIG dent in lag. It will take time, but it has the possibility to drastically change SL performance. Whether that possibility will be realized is a question. If it does, that will be a major improvement to an objection many have to SL.
Community Gateways may contribute to the interaction of users and improving person to person interaction is a proven way to retain users. Things similar have been tried in the past and apparently didn’t work that well, in the Lab’s thinking. But, things will be a bit different this time. The Lindens are a different generation and the Lindens working with SL are a much more motivated and interested in SL group. So, we have a good chance of seeing better results.
But, as always, only time will tell and we will still have to deal with the clueless low information people pushing their personal projections.
…and no, I don’t think these people are exemplary of Hamlet’s readers.