I suppose in a digital world whether or not the sky can fall is a programming choice. Whether you believe the sky is falling in a metaphorical sense is another matter and a personal choice. Canary Beck has published a list of 10 things that are causing some SL’ers anxiety. See: Are Second Life residents anxious about Project Sansar?
I disagree with lots of things Canary thinks. That doesn’t make her wrong and I’m not necessary correct. But, our different viewpoints should prompt readers to think.
The list of anxieties she has comes from Second Life™ users. So, one can’t debate whether these are issues for some of us in SL or not. Canary is kind enough to point her readers to my articles on Second Life: Sansar Fargmentation Anxiety and Second Life: Sansar Separation Anxiety. You can find most all my Sansar writing tagged as Sansar and/or SL 2.0.
Canary doesn’t say if the anxieties on her list are in the order of most to least worrying. While I suspect they are, I don’t know.
Fear is often described as an acronym for False Expectations Appearing Real. I find that to be accurate in most cases. But, fear is a built in reaction to the unknown, something we all experience at some time. We also have a ‘fear’ reaction to things we know, like a dropping hammer is going to hurt if it hits a toe. So, fear of some things is also a learned reaction. Some fears are foolish and others protective. Whether fear is good or bad thing depends on what we do with it.
The first fear is Second Life will be replaced by the new Sansar world. Well, SL is going to be replaced at some point. That is a fact of life in the game world. The Lab thinks Second Life will be technologically outdated at some point, if not already. That is why they are building Sansar. But, SL is going to be around for years after Sansar leaves Beta.
I think everything we know about games and computers has taught us this ‘replacement’ is a thing to come. That people fear ‘replacement’ is probably miss identifying the fear. Dreading or fearing a known coming event is usually about how we imagine the event will play out and how it will affect us. In other words its the impacts from a replacement that concern us. How the replacement is going to affect us is an expectation. It is way too soon to know if our expectations about what ‘replacement’ will mean are real or false.
But, what if Sansar is really way better? Wouldn’t it be smart to just wait and see? The Lindens are hedging their bets. They plan to keep SL going while they see if people like Sansar. What happens if the Lab sees Sansar failing? Do they throw more effort into updating SL? Do they start changing Sansar? Both? No one can possibly know. It may take years for anyone to know.
There is also the possibility that some user made applications/games will be better suited to SL than they are to Sansar. The opposite is true too. So, it is conceivable that SL will be around and have a good sized user base for some time to come. At this point we can’t know.
Once upon a time we thought Blue Mars might replace Second Life. Some thought Cloud Party would be a replacement for Second Life. My point is we can’t know what will happen with Sansar and SL.
But, if you want to worry… enjoy anxiety… or like drama… it is a free country and so little is known about what is to come there is plenty of room for speculation. But, it might be better to think of what positive changes are possible and live in state of hope and excitement. After all there is just as much or lack of as much proof for both sets of beliefs; negative and positive.